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Official Documents |
The Legality of the War on Iraq
The Attorney General's Legal Advice
The full legal advice presented to Tony Blair
on 7 March 2003 and published on 28
April 2005 (pdf)
[Back to the list of documents and comments
here]
Full advice from Attorney General
on legality of Iraq war
PRIME MINISTER
Resolution 1441
1. You have asked me for advice on the legality
of military action against Iraq without a further resolution of
the Security Council. This is, of course, a matter we have discussed
before. Since then I have had the benefit of discussions with
the Foreign Secretary and Sir Jeremy Greenstock, who have given
me valuable background information on the negotiating history
of resolution 1441. In addition, I have also had the opportunity
to hear the views of the US Administration from their perspective
as co-sponsors of the resolution. This note considers the issues
in detail in order that you are in a position to understand the
legal reasoning. My conclusions are summarised at paragraphs
26 to 31 below.
Possible legal bases for the use of force
2. As I have previously advised, there are
generally three possible bases for the use of force:
(a) self-defence (which may include collective
self-defence);
(b) exceptionally, to avert overwhelming
humanitarian catastrophe; and
(c) authorisation by the Security Council
acting under Chapter VII of the UN Charter.
3. Force may be used in self-defence
if there is an actual or imminent threat of an armed attack; the
use of force must be necessary, ie the only means of averting
an attack; and the force used must be a proportionate response.
It is now widely accepted that an imminent armed attack will justify
the use of force if the other conditions are met. The concept
of what is imminent may depend on the circumstances. Different
considerations may apply, for example, where the risk is of attack
from terrorists sponsored or harboured by a particular State,
or where there is a threat of an attack by nuclear weapons. However,
in my opinion there must be some degree of imminence. I am aware
that the USA has been arguing for recognition of a broad doctrine
of a right to use force to pre-empt danger in the future. If this
means more than a right to respond proportionately to an imminent
attack (and I understand that the doctrine is intended to carry
that connotation) this is not a doctrine which, in my opinion,
exists or is recognised in international law.
4. The use of force to avert overwhelming
humanitarian catastrophe has been emerging as a further,
and exceptional, basis for the use of force. It was relied on
by the UK in the Kosovo crisis and is the underlying justification
for the No-Fly Zones. The doctrine remains controversial, however.
I know of no reason why it would be an appropriate basis for action
in present circumstances.
5. Force may be used where this [is] authorised
by the UN Security Council acting under Chapter VII of
the UN Charter. The key question is whether resolution 1441 has
the effect of providing such authorisation.
Resolution 1441
6. As you are aware, the argument that resolution
1441 itself provides the authorisation to use force depends on
the revival of the express authorisation to use force given in
1990 by Security Council resolution 678. This in turn gives rise
to two questions:
(a) is the so-called "revival argument"
a sound legal basis in principle?
(b) is resolution 1441 sufficient to revive
the authorisation in resolution 678?
I deal with these questions in turn. It is
a trite, but nonetheless relevant observation given what some
commentators have been saying, that if the answer to these two
questions .is "yes", the use of force will have been
authorised by the United Nations and not in defiance of it.
The revival argument
7. Following its invasion and annexation
of Kuwait, the Security Council authorised the use of force against
Iraq in resolution 678 (1990). This resolution authorised coalition
forces to use all necessary means to force Iraq to withdraw from
Kuwait and to restore international peace and security in the
area. The resolution gave a legal basis for Operation Desert Storm,
which was brought to an end by the cease-fire set out by the Council
in resolution 687 (1991). The conditions for the cease-fire in
that resolution (and subsequent resolutions) imposed obligations
on Iraq with regard to the elimination of WMD and monitoring of
its obligations. Resolution 687 suspended, but did not terminate,
the authority to use force in resolution 678. Nor has any subsequent
resolution terminated the authorisation to use force in resolution
678. It has been the UK's view that a violation of Iraq's obligations
under resolution 687 which is sufficiently serious to undermine
the basis of-the-ceasefire can revive the authorisation to use
force in resolution 678.
8. In reliance on this argument, force has
been used on certain occasions. I am advised by the Foreign Office
Legal Advisers that this was the basis for the use of force between
13 and 18 January 1993 following UN Presidential Statements on
8 and 11 January 1993 condemning particular failures by Iraq to
observe the terms of the cease-fire resolution. The revival argument
was also the basis for the use of force in December 1998 by the
US and UK (Operation Desert Fox). This followed a series of Security
Council resolutions, notably, resolution 1205 (1998).
9. Law Officers have advised in the past
that, provided the conditions are made out, the revival argument
does provide a sufficient justification in international law for
the use of force against Iraq. That view is supported by an opinion
given in August 1992 by the then UN Legal Counsel, Carl-August
Fleischauer.
However, the UK has consistently taken the
view (as did the Fleischauer opinion) that, as the cease-fire
conditions were set by the Security Council in resolution 687,
it is for the Council to assess whether any such breach of those
obligations has occurred. The US have a rather different view:
they maintain that the fact of whether Iraq is in breach is a
matter of objective fact which may therefore be assessed by individual
Member States. I am not aware of any other state which supports
this view. This is an issue of critical importance when considering
the effect of resolution 1441.
The revival argument is controversial. It
is not widely accepted among academic commentators. However, I
agree with my predecessors' advice on this issue. Further, I believe
that the arguments in support of the revival argument are stronger
following adoption of resolution 1441. That is because of the
terms of the resolution and the course of the negotiations which
led to its adoption. Thus preambular paragraphs 4, 5 and 10 recall
the authorisation to use force in resolution 678 and that resolution
687 imposed obligations on Iraq as a necessary condition of the
cease-fire. Operative paragraph (OP) 1 provides that Iraq has
been and remains in material breach of its obligations under relevant
resolutions, including the resolution 687. OP13 recalls that Iraq
has been warned repeatedly that "serious consequences"
will result from continued violations of its obligations. The
previous practice of the Council and statements made by Council
members during the negotiation of resolution 1441 demonstrate
that the phrase "material breach" signifies a finding
by the Council of a sufficiently serious breach of the cease-fire
conditions to revive the authorisation in resolution 678 and that
"serious consequences" is accepted as indicating the
use of force.
11. I disagree, therefore, with those commentators
and lawyers, who assert that nothing less than an explicit
authorisation to use force in a Security Council resolution
will be sufficient.
Sufficiency of resolution 1441
12. In order for the authorisation to use
force in resolution 678 to be revived, there needs to be a determination
by the Security Council that there is a violation of the conditions
of the cease-fire and that the Security Council considers it sufficiently
serious to destroy the basis of the cease-fire. Revival will not,
however, take place, notwithstanding a finding of violation, if
the Security Council has made it clear either that action short
of the use of force should be taken to ensure compliance with
the terms of the cease-fire, or that it intends to decide subsequently
what action is required to ensure compliance.
Notwithstanding the determination of material
breach in OP1 of resolution 1441, it is clear that the Council
did not intend that the authorisation in resolution 678 should
revive immediately not following the adoption of resolution
1441, since OP2 of the resolution affords Iraq a "final opportunity"
to comply with its disarmament obligations under previous resolutions
by cooperating with the enhanced inspection regime described in
OPs 3 and 5-9. But OP2 also states that the Council has determined
that compliance with resolution 1441 is Iraq's last chance before
the cease-fire resolution will be enforced. OP2 has the effect
therefore of suspending the legal consequences of the OP1 determination
of material breach which would otherwise have triggered the revival
of the authorisation in resolution 678. The narrow but key question
is: on the true interpretation of resolution 1441, what has the
Security Council decided will be the consequences of Iraq's failure
to comply with the enhanced regime.
13. The provisions relevant to determining
whether or not Iraq has taken the final opportunity given by the
Security Council are contained in OPs 4, 11 and 12 of the resolution.
- OP4 provides that false statements or omissions
in the declaration to be submitted by Iraq under OPS and failure
by Iraq at any time to comply with and cooperate fully in the
implementation of resolution 1441 will constitute a further material
breach of Iraq's obligations and will be reported to the Council
for assessment under paragraphs 11 and 12 of the resolution.
- OP11 directs the Executive Chairman of
UNMOVIC and the Director-General of the IAEA to report immediately
to the Council any interference by Iraq with inspection activities,
as well as any failure by Iraq to comply with its disarmament
obligations, including the obligations regarding inspections under
resolution 1441.
- OP12 provides that the Council will convene
immediately on receipt of a report in accordance with paragraphs
4 or 11 "in order to consider the situation and the need
for compliance with all of the relevant Council resolutions in
order to secure international peace and security".
It is clear from the text of the resolution,
and is apparent from the negotiating history, that if Iraq fails
to comply, there will be a further Security Council discussion.
The text is, however, ambiguous and unclear on what happens next.
14. There are two competing arguments:
(i) that provided there is a Council discussion,
if it does not reach a conclusion, there remains an authorisation
to use force;
(ii) that nothing short of a further Council
decision will be a legitimate basis for the use of force.
The first argument
15. The first argument is based on the following
steps:
(a) OP1, by stating that Iraq "has been
and remains in material breach" of its obligations under
relevant resolutions, including resolution 687 amounts to a determination
by the Council that Iraq's violations of resolution 687 are sufficiently
serious to destroy the basis of the cease-fire and therefore,
in principle, to revive the authorisation to use force in resolution
678;
(b) the Council decided, however, to give
Iraq "a final opportunity" (OP 2) but because of the
clear warning that it faced "serious consequences as a result
of its continued violations" (OP 13) was warning that a failure
to take that "final opportunity" would lead to such
consequences;
(c) further, by OP 4, the Council decided
in advance that false statements or omissions in its declaration
and "failure by Iraq at any time to comply with, and
cooperate fully in the implementation of, this resolution"
would constitute "a further material breach"; the argument
is that the Council's determination in advance that particular
conduct would constitute a material breach (thus reviving the
authorisation to use force) is as good as its determination after
the event;
(d) in either event, the Council must meet
(OP 12) "to consider the situation and the need for full
compliance with all of the relevant Council resolutions in order
to secure international peace and security'; but the resolution
singularly does not say that the Council must decide what
action to take. The Council knew full well, it is argued, the
difference between "consider" and "decide"
and so the omission is highly significant. Indeed, the omission
is especially important as the French and Russians made proposals
to include an express requirement for a further decision, but
these were rejected precisely to avoid being tied to the need
to obtain a second resolution. On this view, therefore, while
the Council has the opportunity to take a further decision, the
determinations of material breach in OPs 1 and 4 remain valid
even if the Council does not act.
The second argument
16. The second argument focuses, by contrast,
on two provisions in particular of the resolution: first, the
final words in OP 4 ("and will be reported to the Council
for assessment in accordance with paragraphs 11 and 12 below")
and, second, the requirement in OP 12 for the Council to "consider
the situation and the need for full compliance with all of the
relevant Council resolutions in order to secure international
peace and security". Taken together, it is argued, these
provisions indicate that the Council decided in resolution 1441
that in the event of continued Iraqi non-compliance, the issue
should return to the Council for a further decision on what action
should be taken at that stage.
Discussion
17. So far as OP4 of the resolution is concerned,
one view is that the words at the end of this paragraph indicate
the need for an assessment by the Security Council of how serious
any Iraqi breaches really are and whether they are sufficiently
serious to destroy the basis of the cease-fire. This argument
is supported by public statements to the effect that only serious
cases of non-compliance will constitute a further material breach.
Thus, the Foreign Secretary stated in Parliament on 25 November
that "material breach means something significant; some behaviour
or pattern of behaviour that is serious. Among such breaches could
be action by the Government of Iraq seriously to obstruct or impede
the inspectors, to intimidate witnesses, or a pattern of behaviour
where any single action appears relatively minor but the action
as a whole add up to something deliberate and more significant:
something that shows Iraq's intention not to comply". If
that is right, then the question is who makes the assessment of
what constitutes a sufficiently serious breach. On the UK view
of the revival argument (though not the US view) that can only
be the Council, because only the Council can decide if a violation
is sufficiently serious to revive the authorisation to use force.
18. It is right to say, however, that such
an argument has less force if OP 4 operates automatically. Thus,
the wording of OP4 indicates that any failure by Iraq to
comply with and cooperate fully in the implementation of the resolution
will constitute a further material breach (leaving aside the question
of whether false statements or omissions in the OPS declaration
is an additional requirement). If OP4 means what it says: the
words "cooperate fully" were included specifically
to ensure that any instances of non-cooperation would amount
to a further material breach. This is the US analysis of OP4 and
is undoubtedly more consistent with the view that no further decision
of the Council is necessary to authorise force, because it can
be argued that the Council has determined in advance that any
failure will be a material breach.
19. It has been suggested that it is possible
to establish that Iraq has failed to take its final opportunity
through the procedures in OPs 11 and 12 without regard to OP4.
in which case it is unnecessary to consider the effect of the
words "for assessment". I do not consider that this
argument really assists. First, the resolution must be read as
a whole. Second, I accept that it is possible that a Council discussion
under OP12 may be triggered by a report from Blix and El-Baradei
under OP11 and that this may have the effect of establishing that
Iraq has failed to take the final opportunity granted by OP2.
But I do not consider that it can be argued
seriously that OP4 does not apply in these circumstances. It is
clear from a comparison of the wording of paragraphs 4 and 11
that any Iraqi conduct which would be sufficient to trigger a
report from the inspectors under OP11 would also amount to a failure
to comply with and cooperate fully in the implementation of the
resolution and would thus also be covered by OP4. In addition,
the reference to paragraph 11 in OP4 cannot be ignored. It is
net entirely clear what this means, but the most convincing explanation
seems to be that it is a recognition that an OP11 inspectors'
report would also constitute a report of further material breach
within the meaning of OP4 and would thus be assessed by the Council
under OP12. Moreover, the US see OP4 as an essential part of the
mechanism for establishing that Iraq has failed to take its final
opportunity.
20. It has also been suggested that the final
words of OP4 were chosen carefully to avoid the implication that
it was for the Security Council to assess whether Iraqi conduct
constituted a further material breach. The French proposed to
amend OP4 so that Iraqi conduct would only amount to a further
material breach "when assessed" as such by the Council,
but this amendment was not accepted. I am not wholly convinced
by this argument: if, for the reasons discussed in paragraph 17
above, OP4 requires an assessment of Iraq's conduct by the Council,
the alternative language makes little difference. However, I do
accept that the negotiating history indicates that the words at
the end of OP4 "and shall be reported to the Council for
assessment in accordance with paragraphs 11 and 12" were
added at a late stage, but in substitution for other language
which would clearly have had the effect of making any finding
of further material breach subject to a further Council decision.
21. Whether a report comes to the Council
under OP4 or OP11, the critical issue is what action the Council
is required to take at that point. In other words, what does OP12
require. It is clear that the language of OP12 was a compromise
by the US from their starting position that the Council should
authorise in advance the use of all necessary means to enforce
the cease-fire resolution in the event of continued violations
by Iraq. It is equally clear, however, that the language does
not expressly provide that a further Council decision is necessary
to authorise the use of force. The paragraph indicates that in
the event of a report of a further material breach (whether under
OP4 or OP11) there will be a meeting of the Council to consider
the situation and the need for compliance in order to secure international
peace and security. The Council thus has the opportunity to take
a further decision expressly authorising the use of force or,
conceivably, to decide that other enforcement means should be
used. But the Council might fail to act. The resolution does not
state what is to happen in those circumstances. The clear US view
is that, whatever the reason for the Council's failure to act,
the determination of material breach in OPs 1 and 4 would remain
valid, thus authorising the use of force without a further decision.
My view is that different considerations apply in different circumstances.
The OP12 discussion might make clear that the Council's view is
that military action is appropriate but that no further decision
is required because of the terms of resolution 1441. In such a
case, there would be good grounds for relying on the existing
resolution as the legal basis for any subsequent military action.
The more difficult scenario is if the views of Council members
are divided and a further resolution is not adopted either because
it fails to attract 9 votes or because it is vetoed.
22. The principal argument in favour of the
view that no further decision is required to authorise force in
these circumstances is that the language of OP12 (ie "consider")
was chosen deliberately to indicate the need for a further discussion,
but not a decision. As I have indicated, it is contended that
this interpretation is supported by the negotiating history. The
French and Russians both made proposals to amend OP12 to include
an express requirement for a further decision, but these proposals
were not accepted. The US Administration insist that they made
clear throughout that they would not accept a text which subjected
the use of force to a further Council decision. The French (and
others) therefore knew what they were voting for. The US are confident
that in accepting OPs 4 and 12, they were conceding a Council
discussion and no more. The US, of course, approached the negotiation
of resolution 1441 from a different starting point because, as
I explained in paragraph 9 above, they have always taken the view
that "material breach" is a matter of objective fact
and does not require a Security Council determination. (By contrast,
the UK position taken on the advice of successive Law Officers,
has been that it is for the Security Council to determine the
existence of a material breach of the cease-fire.) Therefore,
while the US objective was to ensure that the resolution did not
constrain the right of action which they believed they already
had, our objective was to secure a sufficient authorisation from
the Council in the absence of which we would have had no right
to act. I have considered whether this difference in the underlying
legal view means that the effect of the resolution might be different
for the US than for the UK, but I have concluded that it does
not affect the position. If OP12 of the resolution, properly interpreted,
were to mean that a further Council decision was required before
force was authorised, this would constrain the US just as much
as the UK. It was therefore an essential negotiating point for
the US that the resolution should not concede the need for a second
resolution. They are convinced that they succeeded.
23. I was impressed by the strength and sincerity
of the views of the US Administration which I heard in Washington
on this point. However, the difficulty is that we are reliant
on their assertions for the view that the French (and others)
knew and accepted that they were voting for a further discussion
and no more. We have very little hard evidence of this beyond
a couple of telegrams recording admissions by French negotiators
that they knew the US would not accept a resolution which required
a further Council decision. The possibility remains that the French
and others accepted OP 12 because in their view it gave them a
sufficient basis on which to argue that a second resolution was
required (even if that was not made expressly clear). A further
difficulty is that, if the matter ever came before a court, it
is very uncertain to what extent the court would accept evidence
of the negotiating history to support a particular interpretation
of the resolution, given that most of the negotiations were conducted
in private and there are no agreed or official records.
24. The counter view of OP 12 is that this
paragraph must imply a decision by the Council. Three particular
arguments support that approach:
(i) when taken with the word "assessment"
in OP 4, the language of OP 12 indicates that the Council will
be assessing the seriousness of any Iraqi breach; this is especially
powerful if in truth some assessment is necessary;
(ii) there is a special significance in the
words "in order to secure international peace and security".
They reflect not only the special responsibility of the Security
Council under Article 39 of the UN Charter ("The Security
Council shall determine the existence of any threat to the peace,
breach of the peace, or acts of aggression and shall make recommendations,
or decide what measures shall be taken …. to maintain or
restore international peace and security"), but also pick
up the language of both resolution 678 (which authorised the use
of force "to restore international peace and security in
the area") and resolution 687 (which referred to the objective
of "restoring international peace and security in the area
as set out in its recent resolutions"). The clear inference,
it will be argued, is that this shows the Council was to exercise
a deliberative role on that issue, ie to determine what it is
necessary to secure international peace arid security;
(iii) any other construction reduces the
role of the Council discussion under OP12 to a procedural formality.
Others have jibbed at this categorisation, but I remain of the
opinion that this would be the effect in legal terms of the view
that no further resolution is required. The Council would be required
to meet, and all members of the Council would be under an obligation
to participate in the discussion in good faith, but even if an
overwhelming majority of the Council were opposed to the use of
force, military action could proceed regardless.
25. Where the meaning of a resolution is
unclear from the text, the statements made by members of the Council
at the lime of its adoption may be taken into account in order
to ascertain the Council's intentions. The statements made during
the debate on 8 November 2002 are not, however, conclusive. The
US and UK stated that further breaches would be reported to the
Council "for discussion". Jeremy Greenstock then added
that we would then expect the Council to "meet its responsibilities",
although (implicitly) we would be prepared to act without Council
backing to ensure that the task of disarmament is completed. Only
the US explicitly stated that it believed that the resolution
did not constrain the use of force by States "to enforce
relevant United Nations resolutions and protect world peace and
security regardless of whether there was a further Council decision.
Conversely, two other Council members, Mexico and Ireland, made
clear that in their view a further decision of the Council was
required before the use of force would be authorised. Syria also
stated that "the resolution should not be interpreted, through
certain paragraphs, as authorising any State to use force".
Most other Council members were less clear in their comments.
The joint statement of France, Russia and China is somewhat opaque,
but seems to imply that a further decision is required. Many delegations
welcomed the fact that there was "no automaticity" in
the resolution with regard to the use of force. But it is not
clear what they meant by this. It could indicate that they did
not consider that the resolution authorised the use of force in
any circumstances by means of the revival argument. On the other
hand there is some evidence from the negotiating history that
their main concern was that the resolution should not authorise
force immediately following its adoption on the basis of
"material breach" in OP1 plus "serious consequences"
in OP13. The UK and US indicated that "no automaticity"
meant that there would be a Council discussion before force was
used.
Summary
26. To sum up, the language of resolution
1441 leaves the position unclear and the statements made on adoption
of the resolution suggest that there were differences of view
within the Council as to the legal effect of the resolution. Arguments
can be made on both sides. A key question is whether there is
in truth a need for an assessment of whether Iraq's conduct constitutes
a failure to take the final opportunity or has constituted a failure
fully to cooperate within the meaning of OP 4 such that the basis
of the cease-fire is destroyed. If an assessment is needed of
that sort, it would be for the Council to make it. A narrow textual
reading of the resolution suggests that sort of assessment is
not needed, because the Council has pre-determined the issue.
Public statements, on the other hand, say otherwise.
27. In these circumstances, I remain
of the opinion that the safest legal course would be to secure
the adoption of a further resolution to authorise the use of force.
I have already advised that I do not believe that such a resolution
need be explicit in its terms. The key point is that it should
establish that the Council has concluded that Iraq has failed
to take the final opportunity offered by resolution 1441, as in
the draft which has already been tabled.
28. Nevertheless, having regard to
the information on the negotiating history which I have been given
and to the arguments of the US Administration which I heard in
Washington, I accept that a reasonable case can be made that resolution
1441 is capable in principle of reviving the authorisation in
678 without a further resolution.
29. However, the argument that resolution
1441 alone has revived the authorisation to use force in resolution
678 will only be sustainable if there are strong factual grounds
for concluding that Iraq has failed to take the final opportunity.
In other words, we would need to be able to demonstrate hard evidence
of non-compliance and non-cooperation. Given the structure of
the resolution as a whole, the views of UNMOVIC and the IAEA will
be highly significant in this respect. In the light of the latest
reporting by UNMOVIC, you will need to consider extremely carefully
whether the evidence of non-cooperation and non-compliance by
Iraq is sufficiently compelling to justify the conclusion that
Iraq has failed to take its final opportunity.
30. In reaching my conclusions, I
have taken account of the fact that on a number of previous occasions,
including in relation to Operation Desert Fox in December 1998
and Kosovo in 1999, UK forces have participated in military action
on the basis of advice from my predecessors that the legality
of the action under international law was no more than reasonably
arguable. But a "reasonable case" does not mean that
if the matter ever came before a court I would be confident that
the court would agree with this view. I judge that, having regard
to the arguments on both sides, and considering the resolution
as a whole in the light of the statements made on adoption and
subsequently, a court might well conclude that OPs 4 and 12 do
require a further Council decision in order to revive the authorisation
in resolution 678. But equally I consider that the counter view
can be reasonably maintained. However, it must be recognised that
on previous occasions when military action was taken on the basis
of a reasonably arguable case, the degree of public and Parliamentary
scrutiny of the legal issue was nothing like as great as it is
today.
31. The analysis set out above applies
whether a second resolution fails to be adopted because of a lack
of votes or because it is vetoed. As I have said before, I do
not believe that there is any basis in law for arguing that there
is an implied condition of reasonableness which can be read into
the power of veto conferred on the permanent members of the Security
Council by the UN Charter. So there are no grounds for arguing
that an "unreasonable veto" would entitle us to proceed
on the basis of a presumed Security Council authorisation. In
any event, if the majority of world opinion remains opposed to
military action, it is likely to be difficult on the facts to
categorise a French veto as "unreasonable". The legal
analysis may, however, be affected by the course of events over
the next week or so, eg the discussions on the draft second resolution.
If we fail to achieve the adoption of a second resolution, we
would need to consider urgently at that stage the strength of
our legal case in the light of circumstances at that time.
Possible consequences of acting without a
second resolution
32. In assessing the risks of acting on the
basis of a reasonably arguable case, you will wish to take account
of the ways in which the matter might be brought before a court.
There are a number of possibilities. First, the General Assembly
could request an advisory opinion on the legality of the military
action from the International Court of Justice (ICJ). A request
for such an opinion could be made at the request of a simple majority
of the States within the GA, so the UK and US could not block
such action. Second, given that the United Kingdom has accepted
the compulsory jurisdiction of the ICJ, it is possible that another
State which has also accepted the Court's jurisdiction might seek
to bring a case against us. This, however, seems a less likely
option since Iraq itself could not bring a case and it is not
easy to see on what basis any other State could establish that
it had a dispute with the UK. But we cannot absolutely rule out
that some State strongly opposed to military action might try
to bring such a case. If it did, an application for interim measures
to stop the campaign could be brought quite quickly (as it was
in the case of Kosovo).
33. The International Criminal Court at present
has no jurisdiction over the crime of aggression and could therefore
not entertain a case concerning the lawfulness of any military
action. The ICC will however have jurisdiction to examine whether
any military campaign has been conducted in accordance with international
humanitarian law. Given the controversy surrounding the legal
basis for action, it is likely that the Court will scrutinise
any allegations of war crimes by UK forces very closely. The Government
has already been put on notice by CND that they intend to report
to the ICC Prosecutor any incidents which their lawyers assess
to have contravened the Geneva Conventions. The ICC would only
be able to exercise jurisdiction over UK personnel if it considered
that the UK prosecuting authorities were unable or unwilling to
investigate and, if appropriate, prosecute the suspects themselves.
34. It is also possible that CND may try
to bring further action to stop military action in the domestic
courts, but I am confident that the courts would decline jurisdiction
as they did in the case brought by CND last November. Two further,
though probably more remote possibilities, are an attempted prosecution
for murder on the grounds that the military action is unlawful
and an attempted prosecution for the crime of aggression. Aggression
is a crime under customary international law which automatically
forms part of domestic law. It might therefore be argued that
international aggression is a crime recognised by the common law
which can be prosecuted in the UK courts.
35. In short, there are a number of ways
in which the opponents of military action might seek to bring
a legal case, internationally or domestically, against the UK,
members of the Government or UK military personnel. Some of these
seem fairly remote possibilities, but given the strength of opposition
to military action against Iraq, it would not be surprising if
some attempts were made to get a case of some sort off the ground.
We cannot be certain that they would not succeed. The GA route
may be the most likely, but you are in a better position than
me to judge whether there are likely to be enough States in the
GA who would be willing to vote for such a course of action in
present circumstances.
Proportionality
36. Finally, I must stress that the lawfulness
of military action depends not only on the existence of a legal
basis, but also on the question of proportionality. Any force
used pursuant to the authorisation in resolution 678 (whether
or not there is a second resolution):
- must have as its objective the enforcement
the terms of the cease-fire contained in resolution 687 (1990)
and subsequent relevant resolutions;
- be limited to what is necessary to achieve
that objective; and
- must be a proportionate response to that
objective, ie securing compliance with Iraq's disarmament obligations.
That is not to say that action may not be
taken to remove Saddam Hussein from power if it can be demonstrated
that such action is a necessary and proportionate measure to secure
the disarmament of Iraq. But regime change cannot be the objective
of military action. This should be borne in mind in considering
the list of military targets and in making public statements about
any campaign.
ATTORNEY GENERAL
7 March 2003
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